
Property market gains momentum amid policy easing and improved buyer sentiment, with forecasts pointing to at least 10% growth next year
Hong Kong’s residential property market has continued its gradual recovery, with fresh data showing home prices edging higher and analysts forecasting gains of at least 10% in 2026 as confidence strengthens.
Official figures indicate that private home prices have risen for several consecutive months, reversing a prolonged downturn that had weighed on the market since 2022. Transaction volumes have also improved, supported by easing financing conditions, a more stable interest-rate outlook and targeted government measures aimed at revitalising the housing sector.
Market observers say the removal of additional stamp duties and other cooling measures earlier this year has played a significant role in reviving demand.
First-time buyers and upgraders have returned to the market, while developers have reported firmer sales at new project launches.
Analysts expect the recovery to broaden in 2026, projecting price growth of at least 10% if current trends persist.
They cite improved mainland Chinese buying interest, continued population inflows and stabilising rental yields as supportive factors.
The city’s tight land supply and limited new completions are also seen as underpinning prices.
Luxury properties have shown renewed resilience, with several high-value transactions recorded in recent weeks.
Mid-market and mass residential segments have likewise experienced stronger viewing activity, according to estate agents.
Despite the more optimistic outlook, economists caution that external risks remain.
Global economic uncertainty and shifts in capital flows could influence sentiment, while mortgage rates will continue to shape affordability.
Nonetheless, the prevailing view among market participants is that the sector has moved past its cyclical low.
With inventory levels normalising and policy support in place, industry analysts believe the coming year could mark a decisive turning point, consolidating Hong Kong’s property market recovery and setting the stage for sustained price appreciation.
Official figures indicate that private home prices have risen for several consecutive months, reversing a prolonged downturn that had weighed on the market since 2022. Transaction volumes have also improved, supported by easing financing conditions, a more stable interest-rate outlook and targeted government measures aimed at revitalising the housing sector.
Market observers say the removal of additional stamp duties and other cooling measures earlier this year has played a significant role in reviving demand.
First-time buyers and upgraders have returned to the market, while developers have reported firmer sales at new project launches.
Analysts expect the recovery to broaden in 2026, projecting price growth of at least 10% if current trends persist.
They cite improved mainland Chinese buying interest, continued population inflows and stabilising rental yields as supportive factors.
The city’s tight land supply and limited new completions are also seen as underpinning prices.
Luxury properties have shown renewed resilience, with several high-value transactions recorded in recent weeks.
Mid-market and mass residential segments have likewise experienced stronger viewing activity, according to estate agents.
Despite the more optimistic outlook, economists caution that external risks remain.
Global economic uncertainty and shifts in capital flows could influence sentiment, while mortgage rates will continue to shape affordability.
Nonetheless, the prevailing view among market participants is that the sector has moved past its cyclical low.
With inventory levels normalising and policy support in place, industry analysts believe the coming year could mark a decisive turning point, consolidating Hong Kong’s property market recovery and setting the stage for sustained price appreciation.










































