
After the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered rates, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority reduced its base rate to 4.25 per cent in October, prompting major banks to lower prime rates and reduce borrowing costs for households.
According to the Hong Kong arm of the credit-reference agency TransUnion, there is a “cautious easing” in lending activity.
Retail sales have begun to rebound, but unemployment remains elevated and wage growth has slowed, causing banks and lenders to maintain a selective approach to new consumer credit.
While some segments are showing improvement, lenders are prioritising higher-quality borrowers and resisting broad loosening of credit standards.
Latest data show unemployment stood at 3.8 per cent in October, down slightly from 3.9 per cent the prior month but still above the pre-pandemic norm.
A survey by Baptist University and other institutions recorded average wage growth of 2.5 per cent this year, down from 3.5 per cent in 2024. Retail sales climbed 5.9 per cent in September, reversing a fourteen-month decline, yet spending patterns remain uneven: while purchases of electrical goods and spending on alcohol and tobacco surged, expenditures on furniture, clothing and footwear contracted.
TransUnion commented that lenders remain cautious because the recovery has not yet reached broad-based strength.
Consumer borrowing is picking up in specific categories but rising delinquency rates among lower-quality borrowers earlier in the cycle have weighed on lender sentiment.
As a result, activity such as credit-card originations and personal-loan growth still reflect restraint rather than a full normalisation of credit supply.
In this environment, banks and non-bank lenders are increasingly favouring revolving credit products and digital banks catering to younger consumers, while maintaining tight underwriting criteria for higher-risk segments.
The selective approach is intended to balance the return of credit growth with prudent risk management as the economy recovers.
Amid this cautious backdrop, the upcoming budget and further interest-rate developments remain key.
For lenders and regulators alike, the challenge will be to support household and business credit without overstretching in a recovery that remains fragile and uneven across sectors.
































